Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Lazio 2-1 Genoa
Setting up a potential Derby della Capitale clash in the quarter-finals - where arch-rivals Roma will await if they can overcome second-tier Cremonese - Lazio should make the most of home advantage to knock out Genoa, whose main goal is Serie A survival. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
58.25% ( 0.07) | 25.02% ( -0.03) | 16.72% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.68% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
