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Lazio logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Genoa logo
Lazio
1 - 0
Genoa
Guendouzi (5')
Pellegrini (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galdames (49'), Fini (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Lazio and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, December 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Genoa

Setting up a potential Derby della Capitale clash in the quarter-finals - where arch-rivals Roma will await if they can overcome second-tier Cremonese - Lazio should make the most of home advantage to knock out Genoa, whose main goal is Serie A survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawGenoa
58.25% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 25.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 16.72% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.044000000000004 0.04)59.52% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)79.87% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.043000000000006 0.04)20.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (0.068999999999996 0.07)52.92% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.14% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)48.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.15% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)83.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.24%
    Genoa 16.72%
    Draw 25.02%
LazioDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 15.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 58.24%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 16.72%

How you voted: Lazio vs Genoa

Lazio
80.2%
Draw
12.8%
Genoa
7.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lazio
0-1
Genoa

Cataldi (38'), Pellegrini (90+2'), Zaccagni (90+3'), Immobile (90+4')
Retegui (16')
Frendrup (39'), Malinovskyi (61')
Apr 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Genoa
1-4
Lazio
Patric (68' og.)
Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Genoa
Pedro (36'), Acerbi (75'), Zaccagni (81')
Melegoni (86')
Ghiglione (30'), Vasquez (60'), Portanova (73')
May 2, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Lazio
4-3
Genoa
Correa (30', 56'), Immobile (43' pen.), Alberto (48')
Leiva (45'), Cataldi (79'), Fares (83')
Marusic (47' og.), Scamacca (80' pen.), Shomurodov (81')
Biraschi (32'), Radovanovic (43'), Masiello (70'), Cassata (90+2')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
1-1
Lazio
Destro (58')
Destro (59'), Czyborra (63')
Immobile (15' pen.)
Patric (43'), Milinkovic-Savic (60'), Leiva (69'), Escalante (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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