Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Roma |
| 43.52% ( | 28.29% ( | 28.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.08% ( | 60.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( | 80.93% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( | 27.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.6% ( | 63.4% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( | 37.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( | 74.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% ( 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.07% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.17% |