Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 at 7.45pm UK
 
Roma logo

vs.

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Atalanta BC and Roma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Roma has a probability of 36.2% and a draw has a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Roma win is 0-1 (9.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
37.58% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)26.22% (0.004999999999999 0)36.2% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)51.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)72.97% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)61.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.012 0.01)27.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 37.59%
    Roma 36.2%
    Draw 26.21%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.2%

Head to Head
May 12, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Lookman (9'), Sulemana (76')
Djimsiti (90')
Cristante (32')
Dec 2, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Dybala (53'), El Shaarawy (90+4')
De Roon (69'), Zaniolo (89')
Hien (78'), Kolasinac (88'), Zaniolo (90')
May 12, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')