Serie A

Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Roma
3-1
Genoa

Soule (14'), Kone (19'), Ferguson (31')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ekhator (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Atalanta vs. Roma
Saturday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Genoa vs. Pisa
Saturday, January 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.59% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Genoa
61.3% ( 0.21)	22.59% ( -0.09)	16.11% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 45.91% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21% (

0.17)

51.79% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.45% (

0.15)

73.55% (

-0.15)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

0.13)

16.45% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.85% (

0.24)

46.15% (

-0.23)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.96% (

-0.05)

45.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.03% (

-0.04)

80.97% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Roma 61.29%

Genoa 16.11%

Draw 22.58%

Roma	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 61.29%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.11%