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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Genoa logo

vs.

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Roma and Genoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Roma
Saturday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw has a probability of 22.73% and a win for Genoa has a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.73%) , while for a Genoa win it is 0-1 (5.99%).

Result
RomaDrawGenoa
60.97%22.73%16.31%
Both teams to score 45.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98%52.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24%73.76%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35%16.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5%46.5%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07%44.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13%80.88%
Score Analysis
    Roma 60.96%
    Genoa 16.31%
    Draw 22.73%
RomaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 13.41%
2-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 5.75%
4-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 60.96%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.99%
1-2 @ 4.29%
0-2 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 16.31%

Head to Head
Jan 17, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Roma
3-1
Genoa
Dovbyk (25'), El Shaarawy (60'), Leali (73' og.)
Paredes (56')
Masini (33')
Vasquez (18')
Sep 15, 2024 11.30am
gameweek 4
Genoa
1-1
Roma
De Winter (90+6')
De Winter (70'), Gilardino (71')
Dovbyk (37')
Pisilli (45'), De Rossi (55'), Pellegrini (64'), Shomurodov (90+1')
De Rossi (90+5')
May 19, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Lukaku (79')
Paredes (72'), Lukaku (82')
Paredes (72')
Sep 28, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Genoa
4-1
Roma
Gudmundsson (5'), Retegui (45'), Thorsby (74'), Messias (81')
Strootman (26'), Sabelli (37'), Retegui (65'), Bani (75')
Cristante (22')
Mancini (42'), Paredes (75'), Aouar (89')
Jan 12, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Dybala (64')