Serie A
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Matias Soule 14' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 19' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 31' goal
  • yellowcard Morten Frendrup 50'
  • goal Jeff Ekhator 87'

Roma vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 7.45pm
Juventus 2 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 7.45pm
Genoa 0 - 1 Atalanta
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Lorenzo Colombo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.59% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Roma 61.3% (+0.21)
Draw 22.59% (-0.10)
Genoa 16.11% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.91% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.21% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 51.79% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 26.45% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 73.55% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 12.29% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 87.71% (-0.10)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 83.55% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 16.45% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 53.85% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 46.15% (-0.24)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 54.96% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 45.04% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 19.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 80.97% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Roma 61.29%
Draw 22.58%
Genoa 16.11%
Roma
1-0 @ 13.37% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 12.06% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.26% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.79% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.28% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.61% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 61.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.58%
Genoa
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 16.11%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 17, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 25' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 56' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 60' goal
  • Nicola Leali 73' goal
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 18'
  • goal Patrizio Masini 33'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
  • Koni De Winter 70' yellowcard
  • Alberto Gilardino 71' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 90'+6' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 37'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 45'
  • yellowcard Daniele De Rossi 55'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 64'
  • yellowcard Eldor Shomurodov 90'+1'
  • redcard Daniele De Rossi 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Leandro Paredes 72' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 72' redcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 79' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 82' yellowcard
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Comunale
  • Albert Gudmundsson 5' goal
  • Kevin Strootman 26' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sabelli 37' yellowcard
  • Mateo Retegui 45' goal
  • Mateo Retegui 65' yellowcard
  • Morten Thorsby 74' goal
  • Mattia Bani 75' yellowcard
  • Junior Messias 81' goal
  • goal Bryan Cristante 22'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 42'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 75'
  • yellowcard Houssem Aouar 89'
Coppa Italia
Jan 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 64' goal
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 5, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gianluca Mancini 35' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Zinho Vanheusden 25'
  • redcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 69'
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 79'