Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.