Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.37% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.