Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.