Genoa logo
Serie A
Dec 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Atalanta logo

0-1


Leali (3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hien (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Roma vs. Genoa
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Atalanta vs. Inter Milan
Sunday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawAtalanta BC
28.36%25.84%45.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.57%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)69.41%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.18%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 28.36%
    Atalanta BC 45.8%
    Draw 25.83%
GenoaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.36%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 11.03%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-2 @ 8.21%
1-3 @ 4.54%
0-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.8%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2025 2pm
8th Finals
Atalanta
4-0
Genoa
Djimsiti (19'), De Roon (54'), Pasalic (82'), Ahanor (90+1')

Fini (36')
May 17, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Genoa
2-3
Atalanta
Pinamonti (37', 58')
Sulemana (47'), Maldini (63'), Retegui (89')
Oct 5, 2024 5pm
gameweek 7
Atalanta
5-1
Genoa
Retegui (24', 50', 74' pen.), Ederson (60'), De Roon (80')
Ekhator (83')
Feb 11, 2024 5pm
gameweek 24
Genoa
1-4
Atalanta
Malinovskyi (51')
Strootman (24'), Bani (54'), Caricol (90+3')
De Ketelaere (22'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (90+10'), Bilal Toure (90+13')
De Ketelaere (24'), Kolasinac (32'), de Roon (90+2'), Miranchuk (90+7')
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
gameweek 9
Atalanta
2-0
Genoa
Lookman (68'), Ederson (90+5')
Lookman (42'), Toloi (53'), Hateboer (85'), Zappacosta (90')

Gudmundsson (56'), Bani (90+7')