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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Genoa
vs.
AtalantaAtalanta BC

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Genoa and Atalanta BC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 26.88% and a draw has a probability of 25.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Genoa win is 1-0 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.13%).

Result
GenoaDrawAtalanta BC
26.88% (-0.145 -0.15)25.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)47.61% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.91% (-0.352 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.407 -0.41)51.39% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (-0.357 -0.36)73.21% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (-0.33 -0.33)33.79% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.363 -0.36)70.45% (0.36399999999999 0.36)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)21.59% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.211 -0.21)54.69% (0.213 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 26.88%
    Atalanta BC 47.61%
    Draw 25.51%
GenoaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.88%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.57% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 47.61%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2025 2pm
8th Finals
Atalanta
4-0
Genoa
Djimsiti (19'), De Roon (54'), Pasalic (82'), Ahanor (90+1')

Fini (36')
> Preview
May 17, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Genoa
2-3
Atalanta
Pinamonti (37', 58')
Sulemana (47'), Maldini (63'), Retegui (89')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2024 5pm
gameweek 7
Atalanta
5-1
Genoa
Retegui (24', 50', 74' pen.), Ederson (60'), De Roon (80')
Ekhator (83')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2024 5pm
gameweek 24
Genoa
1-4
Atalanta
Malinovskyi (51')
Strootman (24'), Bani (54'), Caricol (90+3')
De Ketelaere (22'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (90+10'), Bilal Toure (90+13')
De Ketelaere (24'), Kolasinac (32'), de Roon (90+2'), Miranchuk (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
gameweek 9
Atalanta
2-0
Genoa
Lookman (68'), Ederson (90+5')
Lookman (42'), Toloi (53'), Hateboer (85'), Zappacosta (90')

Gudmundsson (56'), Bani (90+7')
> Preview