Atalanta logo
Serie A
Dec 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Cagliari logo

2-1

Scamacca (11', 81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gaetano (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Genoa vs. Atalanta
Sunday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Cagliari vs. Pisa
Sunday, December 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.87% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
67.93%19.87%12.21%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43%48.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31%70.69%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7%13.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.87%40.13%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.08%48.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.1%83.9%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.92%
    Cagliari 12.21%
    Draw 19.87%
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 13.24%
1-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 8.9%
3-1 @ 6.37%
4-0 @ 4.49%
4-1 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.28%
5-0 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 67.92%
1-1 @ 9.38%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 3.38%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.87%
0-1 @ 4.65%
1-2 @ 3.36%
0-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 12.21%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 2pm
gameweek 25
Atalanta
0-0
Cagliari
Hien (90+5')
Coman (90+5')
Dec 14, 2024 2pm
gameweek 16
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta

Luperto (43'), Augello (52'), Obert (86')
Zaniolo (66')
de Roon (49'), Zaniolo (66'), Samardzic (90+1')
Apr 7, 2024 5pm
gameweek 31
Cagliari
2-1
Atalanta
Augello (42'), Viola (88')
Deiola (66'), Toloi (73'), Nandez (75')
Scamacca (13')
de Roon (54'), Zappacosta (63'), Luvumbo (74')
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
gameweek 5
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
Lookman (33'), Pasalic (76')
Djimsiti (54')

Deiola (32'), Luvumbo (42')
Feb 6, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-2
Cagliari
Luis Palomino (64')
Zappacosta (61')
Musso (52')
Pereiro (50', 68')
Henrique (24'), Grassi (35'), Deiola (63'), Cragno (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Mazzarri (90+2')