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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
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AtalantaAtalanta BC
vs.
Inter Milan

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Inter Milan (3-2 pen.)
Friday, December 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 34.71% and a draw has a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win is 1-0 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
34.71% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)25.99% (0.311 0.31)39.29% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-1.127 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (-1.413 -1.41)50.29% (1.418 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (-1.267 -1.27)72.24% (1.272 1.27)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)27.76% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-1.29 -1.29)63.33% (1.296 1.3)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.52300000000001 -0.52)25.15% (0.527 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.73 -0.73)59.86% (0.735 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 34.71%
    Inter Milan 39.29%
    Draw 25.99%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.261 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.392 0.39)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.401 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.178 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.29%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 29
Atalanta
0-2
Inter Milan

Bellanova (39'), Ederson (81')
Ederson (81'), Piero Gasperini (88')
Augusto (54'), Martinez (87')
Bastoni (79'), Pavard (86')
Bastoni (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2025 7pm
Semi-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Dumfries (49', 61')
Augusto (88')

Scalvini (28')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Atalanta
Djimsiti (4' og.), Barella (10'), Thuram (47', 56')

de Roon (45+1'), Retegui (53')
> Preview
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Inter Milan
4-0
Atalanta
Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')
De Ketelaere (10')
Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 5pm
gameweek 11
Atalanta
1-2
Inter Milan
Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')
> Preview