Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.