Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
| 28.35% ( | 25.44% ( | 46.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% ( | 50.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( | 72.16% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( | 32.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( | 21.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% ( | 54.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 3-0 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.2% |