Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 53.78% ( | 23.2% ( | 23.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.05% ( | 44.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( | 67.3% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( | 16.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( | 46.5% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% ( | 33.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.81% ( | 70.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 23.02% |