Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.