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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Empoli logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Empoli

Malinovskyi (37')
Malinovskyi (56'), Vogliacco (86'), Badelj (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawEmpoli
56.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)20.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)73.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.0020000000000095 0)18.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)49.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.26% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)76.89% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 56.02%
    Empoli 20.01%
    Draw 23.95%
GenoaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: Genoa vs Empoli

Genoa
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Genoa
0-0
Empoli
Blessin (34'), Sturaro (41'), Yeboah (45+1'), Portanova (49'), Rovella (86')
Verre (37'), Luperto (43'), Bandinelli (70')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Empoli
2-2
Genoa
Di Francesco (62'), Zurkowski (72')
Criscito (13' pen.), Bianchi (89')
Rovella (27'), Sturaro (64'), Masiello (74'), Vasquez (83')
Jan 28, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Empoli
1-3
Genoa
Di Lorenzo (63')
Rasmussen (61')
Kouame (18'), Lazovic (70'), Sanabria (73')
Bessa (39'), Rolon (58')
Aug 26, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Genoa
2-1
Empoli
Piatek (6'), Kouame (18')
Spolli (45'), Criscito (52'), Zukanovic (59')
Mraz (90')
Silvestre (85'), Krunic (90')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Empoli
0-2
Genoa

Bellusci (36'), Maccarone (63'), Diousse (79')
Ntcham (89'), Hiljemark (90')
Rigoni (18'), Pinilla (75')