Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Empoli |
| 56.03% ( | 23.96% ( | 20.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( | 51.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( | 73.37% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( | 18.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.7% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( | 40.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% ( | 76.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.01% |