/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcellog.png)
-
Nicolo Rovella
50'
-
Ciro Immobile
82'
-
Ciro Immobile
85'
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Pedro
89'
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Patric
90'+4'
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Greg Taylor
27'
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Alistair Johnston
35'
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Matt O'Riley
71'
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Hyun-Jun Yang
78'
Lazio vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fgustav-isaksen-liam-scales.jpg)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F40%2Fceltic.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Lazio
31.34%
▲
(+0.24)
Draw
23.78%
▼
(-0.03)
Celtic
44.87%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
60.63%
▲
(+0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.72%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
41.28%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
36.32%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
63.67%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 4.5
19.26%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
80.73%
▼
(-0.18)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
74.53%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
25.46%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
39.7%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
60.29%
▼
(-0.35)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5
81.33%
Under 0.5
18.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
50.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
49.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Lazio
31.34%
Draw
23.78%
Celtic
44.87%
Lazio
2-1
@
7.46%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 31.34%
1-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 31.34%
Draw
1-1
@
10.91%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.78%
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.78%
Celtic
1-2
@
9.16%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.87%
0-1 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.87%