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Serie A

Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Cagliari

Pedro (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hatzidiakos (12'), Nandez (75')
Makoumbou (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
48.73% (-0.155 -0.16)25.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06)25.53% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (-0.15 -0.15)53.23% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (-0.13 -0.13)74.79% (0.125 0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.131 -0.13)21.86% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.198 -0.2)55.1% (0.195 0.2)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 48.73%
    Cagliari 25.53%
    Draw 25.74%
LazioDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari

Lazio
89.7%
Draw
10.3%
Cagliari
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Cagliari
0-3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')
Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lazio
2-2
Cagliari
Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Immobile (61')
Correa (69'), Inzaghi (87'), Parolo (87')

Nandez (31'), Pedro (82')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Lazio

Marin (51')
Lazzari (4'), Immobile (74')
Leiva (61')
> Preview
Jul 23, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Immobile (60')
Jony (45+1'), Lazzari (50'), Parolo (90')
Simeone (45')
Klavan (87')
> Preview