Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Monza |
| 45.43% ( | 25.56% ( | 29% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( | 50.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( | 72.29% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% ( | 22.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.48% ( | 55.52% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( | 31.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( | 68.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-0 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.43% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0-0 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-2 @ 7% ( 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 29% |