Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alberto Dossena 10' goal
  • Matteo Prati 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuele Birindelli 48'
  • goal Mirko Maric 61'
  • yellowcard Pepin 69'

Cagliari vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 5.00pm
Juventus 2 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Viola

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 7.45pm
Monza 1 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrea Colpani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Cagliari 45.43% (-0.37)
Draw 25.56% (+0.42)
Monza 29% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.26% (-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.65% (-1.74)
Under 2.5 50.35% (+1.74)
Over 3.5 27.71% (-1.56)
Under 3.5 72.29% (+1.56)
Over 4.5 13.12% (-1.05)
Under 4.5 86.88% (+1.05)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 77.86% (-0.89)
Under 0.5 22.14% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 44.48% (-1.36)
Under 1.5 55.52% (+1.36)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 68.4% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 31.6% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 31.99% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 68.01% (+1.09)

Score analysis

Cagliari 45.43%
Draw 25.56%
Monza 29%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.54% (+0.45)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.95% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (+98.91)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 7% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
Monza
0-1 @ 8.06% (+0.36)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.64% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29%