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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Udinese

Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dimarco (42'), Thuram (44'), Martinez (84')
Inzaghi (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferreira (13'), Cioffi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Udinese

With defensive injuries mounting up, Inter boss Simone Inzaghi will be keen to take care of business against Serie A strugglers Udinese without taking too much of a toll on his squad. The Nerazzurri can take a stranglehold of the game by scoring at least once in the first half, then cruise towards win number 12 of their league campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
71.19% (0.11500000000001 0.12) 18.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 10.78% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (0.050999999999995 0.05)44.33% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.7% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85% (0.045000000000002 0.05)11.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.39% (0.096999999999994 0.1)35.61% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.21% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)48.78% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.2% (-0.064 -0.06)83.8% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.18%
    Udinese 10.78%
    Draw 18.03%
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.93%
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 71.18%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 10.78%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Udinese

Inter Milan
94.5%
Draw
3.6%
Udinese
1.8%
55
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Inter Milan
3-1
Udinese
Lukaku (20' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73'), Martinez (89')
Lovric (43')
Sep 18, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Udinese
3-1
Inter Milan
Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Barella (5')
May 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 35
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Pussetto (72')
Mari (40'), Pereyra (65')
Perisic (12'), Martinez (39')
Vecino (90+2')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Inter Milan
2-0
Udinese
Correa (60', 68')

Beto (38'), Pereyra (51')
May 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 38
Inter Milan
5-1
Udinese
Young (8'), Eriksen (44'), Martinez (55' pen.), Perisic (64'), Lukaku (71')
Martinez (26')
Pereyra (79' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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