Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 1
Udinese

Mancini (20', 20'), Dybala (81'), El Shaarawy (90')
Pellegrini (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Thauvin (57')
Ferreira (19'), Samardzic (26'), Success (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Roma
Sunday, November 12 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Udinese
61.42% ( 0.05)	22.32% ( -0.03)	16.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.02% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

0.12)

50.47% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

0.1)

72.4% (

-0.1)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.04% (

0.06)

15.96% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.76% (

0.1)

45.24% (

-0.1)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.95% (

0.05)

44.06% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83% (

0.05)

80.17% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Roma 61.41%

Udinese 16.26%

Draw 22.31%

Roma	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 61.41%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.26%