Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 3
Inter Milan

Mario (5', 13', 34')
Mario (72'), Morato (78'), Schmidt (90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Arnautovic (51'), Frattesi (58'), Sanchez (72' pen.)
Cuadrado (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Inter Milan
42.6% ( -0.02)	25.93%	31.47% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.34% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.17% (

50.83% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.29% (

72.71% (

-0)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

-0.01)

23.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

-0.01)

57.8% (

0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.02)

30.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

0.02)

66.25% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Benfica 42.6%

Inter Milan 31.47%

Draw 25.92%

Benfica	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.6%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.47%