Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 25, 2023 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 0
Famalicao

Riccieli (72' og.), Silva (77')
di Maria (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Youssouf (42'), Junior (77')
Otavio (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Camacha 0-5 Famalicao
Saturday, November 18 at 2.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
60.64% ( -0.07)	22.26% ( 0.04)	17.1% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11% (

-0.1)

48.89% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

-0.09)

70.99% (

0.09)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.33% (

-0.05)

15.68% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27% (

-0.1)

44.73% (

0.11)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.95% (

-0.02)

42.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.52% (

-0.02)

78.48% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Benfica 60.63%

Famalicao 17.1%

Draw 22.26%

Benfica	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 60.63%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.26%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.1%