Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 4, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Sa (36'), Moura (44'), Chiquinho (60')
Chiquinho (46'), Sa (82'), Nathan (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dominguez (67')
Carlos (3'), Costa (14'), Neto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-3 Braga
Saturday, October 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Gil Vicente
40.3% ( 0.01)	25.92% ( 0.01)	33.78% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

-0.04)

50.17% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

-0.04)

72.13% (

0.04)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44% (

-0.01)

24.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

-0.02)

59.04% (

0.02)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

-0.03)

28.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

-0.04)

63.99% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 40.3%

Gil Vicente 33.78%

Draw 25.92%

Famalicao	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.3%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.78%