Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Nov 18, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Complexo Desportivo da Camacha
Famalicao logo

Camacha
0 - 5
Famalicao


Wellyson (19'), Miguel (37'), Fraga (38'), Faria (64'), F (65'), Abreu (67'), Co (80'), Co (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Moura (20'), Pablo (29', 90+1'), Sa (50'), Dobre (90')
Youssouf (45')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Camacha and Famalicao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Camacha

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Viseu 3-0 Camacha
Wednesday, November 9 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Camacha had a probability of 13.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Camacha win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
CamachaDrawFamalicao
13.11% (-0.43 -0.43)19.42% (-0.338 -0.34)67.47% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.504 0.5)44.56% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (0.487 0.49)66.93% (-0.489 -0.49)
Camacha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (-0.347 -0.35)44.94% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (-0.278 -0.28)80.89% (0.274 0.27)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77% (0.36500000000001 0.37)12.23% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.08% (0.761 0.76)37.92% (-0.765 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Camacha 13.11%
    Famalicao 67.46%
    Draw 19.42%
CamachaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 4.39% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-1 @ 3.69% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.76% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 0.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 13.11%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.42%
0-2 @ 12.13% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 8.5% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.8% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 4.47% (0.152 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.57% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.88% (0.089 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 67.46%