Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Alexis Sanchez 19' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 28' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 64' goal
  • yellowcard Roko Simic 23'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 29'
  • yellowcard Gerhard Struber 45'+2'
  • goal Oscar Gluh 57'

Inter Milan vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Benfica

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Salzburg 0 - 2 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 42.2% (+1.41)
Draw 25.78% (+0.01)
Red Bull Salzburg 32.01% (-1.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.04% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.99% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 50% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 28.01% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 71.98% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 13.32% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 86.68% (+0.26)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 76.47% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 23.52% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 42.43% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 57.56% (-0.75)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 70.67% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 29.33% (+1.13)
Over 1.5 34.69% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 65.3% (+1.41)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 42.2%
Draw 25.77%
Red Bull Salzburg 32.01%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.98% (+0.32)
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 7.23% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.28% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.55% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.26% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 42.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
Red Bull Salzburg
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 9, 2023 6.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Karim Konate 6' goal
  • Karim Konate 35' goal
  • Samson Baidoo 46' goal
  • goal Strahinja Pavlovic 9' (OG)
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 25'
  • goal Joaquin Correa 43'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 76'
  • goal Stefano Sensi 90'
Club Friendlies 1
Dec 7, 2022 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 20' goal
  • Francesco Acerbi 42' goal
  • Bernardo 72' goal
  • Valentin Carboni 90'+1' goal