Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.