Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.