Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 44.38% ( | 24.25% ( | 31.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( | 43.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.12% ( | 65.87% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( | 19.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( | 51.79% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( | 26.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( | 61.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.36% |