Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Rodrygo
11'
-
Jude Bellingham
22'
-
Nico Paz
84'
-
Joselu
90'+4'
-
Giovanni Simeone
9'
-
Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
47'
-
Piotr Zielinski
49'
-
Jens Cajuste
90'
Real Madrid vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Frodrygo.JPG)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fjude-bellingham_1.JPG)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Fvinicius-junior.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fvinicius-junior-real-madrid.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Frmalas.JPG)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fluka-modric.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Real Madrid
49.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
25.05%
Napoli
25.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
52.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
50.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
27.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
72.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
13.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
86.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
79.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
20.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
47.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
52.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
66.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
33.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
29.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
70.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
49.01%
Draw
25.05%
Napoli
25.93%
Real Madrid
1-0
@
11.01%
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.01%
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.01%
Draw
1-1
@
11.91%
0-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.05%
0-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.05%
Napoli
0-1
@
7.52%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.93%
1-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.93%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
19'
-
Natan
45'
-
Piotr Zielinski
54'
-
Vinicius Junior
27'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
29'
-
Jude Bellingham
34'
-
Jude Bellingham
70'
-
Alex Meret
78'
(OG)
-
Kepa Arrizabalaga
89'
Champions League
-
Dries Mertens
24'
-
Allan
55'
-
Amadou Diawara
89'
-
Sergio Ramos
52'
-
Dries Mertens
57'
(OG)
-
Alvaro Morata
91'
Champions League
-
Sergio Ramos
17'
-
Karim Benzema
18'
-
Toni Kroos
49'
-
Luka Modric
52'
-
Casemiro
54'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
8'
-
Piotr Zielinski
38'
-
Dries Mertens
76'
Form Data
Build-up
News