La Liga Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
Nov 11, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia
  • Dani Carvajal 3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 49' goal
  • Rodrygo 50' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 34'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 67'
  • goal Hugo Duro 88'

Real Madrid vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 8.00pm
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 3.15pm
Valencia 1 - 0 Granada
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 65.56% ▲ (+0.60)
Draw 20.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Valencia 13.86% ▼ (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.69% ▼ (-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.13% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 47.86% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 3.5 29.95% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 3.5 70.05% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 4.5 14.64% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 85.36% ▲ (+0.33)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 13.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 58.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 41.1% ▼ (-0.05)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 54.16% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 0.5 45.84% ▲ (+1.03)
Over 1.5 18.41% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 1.5 81.59% ▲ (+0.82)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 65.55%
Draw 20.58%
Valencia 13.86%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 12.4% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 65.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.58%
Valencia
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 13.86%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 35
Valencia
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Diego Lopez 33' goal
La Liga Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
Feb 2, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Valencia
  • Marco Asensio 52' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
Valencia
  • Karim Benzema 39' goal
  • goal Samuel Lino 46'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Real Madrid
Jan 8, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Valencia
  • Casemiro 14' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 26' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 43' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 52' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 61' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 75' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cristiano Piccini 51'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 58'
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 76'
  • yellowcard Denis Cheryshev 84'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Valencia
Sep 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Gabriel Paulista 39' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 66' goal
  • yellowcard Casemiro 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nacho 56'
  • yellowcard Rodrygo 81'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 86'
  • goal Karim Benzema 88'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Valencia
  • Karim Benzema 12' goal
  • Toni Kroos 42' goal
  • yellowcard Goncalo Guedes 27'
  • yellowcard Uros Racic 44'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 46'

Form Data

Real Madrid 3 - 0 Braga
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Braga 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Sevilla 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna
Valencia 1 - 0 Granada
UD Logrones 0 - 2 Valencia
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 2 Valencia
Valencia 2 - 0 Cadiz
Mallorca 1 - 1 Valencia
Betis 3 - 0 Valencia

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