La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Granada

Pepelu (45+7' pen.)
Guerra (51'), Paulista (58'), Lopez (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (12'), Sanchez (40'), Torrente (45+6'), Villar (78'), Zaragoza (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Granada
48.61% ( 0.03)	26.65% ( -0.04)	24.74% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.8% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.83% (

0.14)

57.17% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.97% (

0.11)

78.03% (

-0.11)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

0.08)

23.58% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35% (

0.11)

57.65% (

-0.11)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

0.09)

38.76% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

0.08)

75.49% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Valencia 48.6%

Granada 24.74%

Draw 26.65%

Valencia	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.6%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.74%