Copa del Rey
Nov 2, 2023 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas
  • Ander Vitoria 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roman Yaremchuk 32'
  • yellowcard Hugo Gonzalez 39'
  • goal Pablo Gozalbez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pablo Gozalbez 79'
  • goal Diego Lopez 88'

UD Logrones vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Logrones

All competitions

Valencia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result

UD Logrones 36.93% (-0.60)
Draw 27.94% (+0.42)
Valencia 35.13% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.95% (-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.95% (-1.56)
Under 2.5 58.05% (+1.57)
Over 3.5 21.27% (-1.24)
Under 3.5 78.73% (+1.25)
Over 4.5 9.08% (-0.74)
Under 4.5 90.92% (+0.75)

UD Logrones Goals

Over 0.5 69.82% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 30.18% (+1.13)
Over 1.5 33.66% (-1.38)
Under 1.5 66.34% (+1.38)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 68.68% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 31.32% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 32.32% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 67.68% (+0.79)

Score analysis

UD Logrones 36.93%
Draw 27.93%
Valencia 35.12%
UD Logrones
1-0 @ 11.32% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 36.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 9.45% (+0.55)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
Valencia
0-1 @ 10.97% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.37% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Jan 22, 2020 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Las Gaunas
  • Lander Olaetxea 82' yellowcard
  • goal Maxi Gomez 15'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 32'
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 56'