Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
UD Logrones	Draw	Valencia
36.93% ( -0.6)	27.94% ( 0.41)	35.13% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 47.95% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.95% (

-1.56)

58.05% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27% (

-1.24)

78.73% (

1.24)

UD Logrones Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.82% (

-1.13)

30.18% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.66% (

-1.37)

66.34% (

1.37)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

-0.66)

31.32% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

-0.78)

67.68% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

UD Logrones 36.93%

Valencia 35.12%

Draw 27.93%

UD Logrones	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.93%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.12%