Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 2, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio A Lomba

Arosa
0 - 3
Granada

FT(HT: 0-1)

Callejon (19'), Weissman (88'), Diedhiou (90')
Villar (43'), Lopez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Arosa and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 2-3 Villarreal
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Arosa had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Arosa win it was 1-0 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
Arosa	Draw	Granada
13.1% ( -0.22)	20.21% ( -0.16)	66.68% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 45.78% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.02% (

0.18)

47.98% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.85% (

0.16)

70.15% (

-0.16)

Arosa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.92% (

-0.24)

47.08% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.45% (

-0.18)

82.55% (

0.19)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.52% (

0.17)

13.49% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.5% (

0.34)

40.5% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Arosa 13.1%

Granada 66.68%

Draw 20.21%

Arosa	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.1% Total : 13.1%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.21%	0-2 @ 12.74% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.26% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 66.68%