Copa del Rey
Nov 2, 2023 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio A Lomba
  • goal Jose Callejon 19'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Villar 43'
  • goal Shon Weissman 88'
  • goal Famara Diedhiou 90'
  • yellowcard Adri Lopez 90'+2'

Arosa vs Granada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arosa

Granada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Arosa had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Arosa win it was 1-0 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result

Arosa 13.1% (-0.23)
Draw 20.21% (-0.16)
Granada 66.68% (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.78% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.02% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 47.98% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 29.85% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 70.15% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 14.57% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 85.43% (-0.11)

Arosa Goals

Over 0.5 52.92% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 47.08% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 17.45% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 82.55% (+0.19)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5 86.52% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 13.49% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 59.5% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 40.5% (-0.34)

Score analysis

Arosa 13.1%
Draw 20.21%
Granada 66.68%
Arosa
1-0 @ 4.78% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 3.61% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.8% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 13.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.21%
Granada
0-2 @ 12.74% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 12.72% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.51% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.41% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 4.26% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 3.21% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.71% (+0.05)
1-5 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 66.68%