La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
0 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Camavinga (62'), Junior (74'), Rudiger (90+6')

Ratiu (44'), Ciss (57'), Trejo (88'), Lejeune (90+6'), Dimitrievski (90+1')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico Lugones 0-6 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
62.35% ( -3.79)	21.55% ( 1.1)	16.1% ( 2.69)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

3.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

0.68)

47.65% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

0.62)

69.85% (

-0.62)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29% (

-0.95)

14.71% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

-1.86)

42.9% (

1.86)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.43% (

4.25)

42.57% (

-4.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07% (

3.42)

78.93% (

-3.42)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 62.34%

Rayo Vallecano 16.1%

Draw 21.55%

Real Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.77) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( -1.17) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -1.03) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.63) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.27) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.4% Total : 62.34%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.55) Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.65% Total : 16.1%