Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK

Estadio Constantino Navarro

Atletico Lugones
0 - 6
Rayo Vallecano

Suarez Cano (7'), Fernandez (45'), Basualdo (69')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Falcao (8' pen., 16'), Camello (40'), Bebe (62', 79'), Ratiu (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Lugones and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 96.84%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for Atletico Lugones had a probability of 0.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-4 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.88%) and 0-5 (12.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.23%), while for an Atletico Lugones win it was 1-0 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Atletico Lugones	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
0.48% ( 0.02)	2.69% ( 0.06)	96.84% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 19.9% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.49% (

-0.15)

18.52% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.05% (

-0.22)

35.95% (

0.22)

Atletico Lugones Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

20.21% (

0.29)

79.79% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

2.2% (

0.07)

97.81% (

-0.06)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.46% (

-0.02)

1.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

92.04% (

-0.1)

7.96% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Atletico Lugones 0.48%

Rayo Vallecano 96.82%

Draw 2.69%

Atletico Lugones	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Other @ 0.48% Total : 0.48%	0-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 2.69%	0-4 @ 15.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 14.88% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 12.96% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 10.69% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 9.02% ( -0.1) 0-7 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-8 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-9 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 1-7 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 96.82%