Copa del Rey
Nov 1, 2023 11.00am
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Constantino Navarro
  • David Suarez Cano 7' yellowcard
  • Jairo Fernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Sergio Basualdo 69' yellowcard
  • goal Radamel Falcao 8'
  • goal Radamel Falcao 16'
  • goal Sergio Camello 40'
  • goal Bebe 62'
  • goal Andrei Ratiu 68'
  • goal Bebe 79'

Atletico Lugones vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Lugones

Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 96.84%. A draw had a probability of 2.7% and a win for Atletico Lugones had a probability of 0.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-4 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.88%) and 0-5 (12.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.23%), while for an Atletico Lugones win it was 1-0 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result

Atletico Lugones 0.48% (+1.80)
Draw 2.69% (+0.06)
Rayo Vallecano 96.84% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

19.9% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 81.49% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 18.52% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 64.05% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 35.95% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 44.88% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 55.12% (+0.25)

Atletico Lugones Goals

Over 0.5 20.21% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 79.79% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 2.2% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 97.81% (-0.07)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 98.46% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 1.54% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 92.04% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 7.96% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Atletico Lugones 0.48%
Draw 2.69%
Rayo Vallecano 96.82%
Atletico Lugones
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 0.48%
Draw
0-0 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 2.69%
Rayo Vallecano
0-4 @ 15.53% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 14.88% (+0.03)
0-5 @ 12.96% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 10.69% (+0.05)
0-6 @ 9.02% (-0.10)
0-7 @ 5.38% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.13% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 3.51% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (+0.06)
1-5 @ 2.93% (+0.03)
0-8 @ 2.81% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 2.42% (+0.05)
1-6 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
0-9 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
1-7 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 96.82%