Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 1
Fiorentina

Mari (33'), Akpa-Akpro (72'), D'Ambrosio (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beltran (7')
Beltran (33'), Mina (68'), Kayode (86'), Ranieri (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Monza and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Monza
Sunday, December 17 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Monza had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Fiorentina
34.5% ( -0.01)	25.99% ( 0)	39.51% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.05% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68% (

-0.03)

50.31% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74% (

-0.03)

72.26% (

0.02)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

-0.02)

27.89% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0.02)

63.51% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.02)

25.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.02)

59.71% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Monza 34.5%

Fiorentina 39.51%

Draw 25.98%

Monza	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.5%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.51%