Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Beltran (78')
Terracciano (2'), Biraghi (36'), Barak (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dawidowicz (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
73.3% ( 0.1)	16.62% ( -0.16)	10.08% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.12% (

0.9)

39.87% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.76% (

0.92)

62.23% (

-0.93)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.55% (

0.25)

9.44% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.28% (

0.6)

31.71% (

-0.6)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.79% (

0.7)

47.2% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36% (

0.52)

82.64% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 73.29%

Hellas Verona 10.08%

Draw 16.62%

Fiorentina	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 73.29%	1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.62%	0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.08%