Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.