Serie A Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana
  • Lucas Beltran 6' goal
  • Riccardo Sottil 17' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 44' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 56' goal

Fiorentina vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nicolas Gonzalez

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 2.00pm
Salernitana 2 - 1 Lazio
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Antonio Candreva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 73.49% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 16.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Salernitana 10.11% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.77% ▼ (-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.31% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 2.5 38.69% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 3.5 39% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 3.5 61% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 4.5 21.34% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 4.5 78.65% ▲ (+0.76)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 90.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 9.09% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 69.1% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 30.9% ▲ (+0.29)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 53.65% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 0.5 46.35% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 1.5 18.01% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 1.5 81.99% ▲ (+1.06)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 73.48%
Draw 16.39%
Salernitana 10.11%
Fiorentina
2-0 @ 12.11% ▲ (+0.38)
1-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.37)
3-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.15)
5-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.10)
6-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 73.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.39%
Salernitana
0-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 10.11%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Salernitana
May 3, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Arechi
Fiorentina
  • Boulaye Dia 10' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 59' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 81' goal
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 36'
  • goal Jonathan Ikone 71'
  • goal Cristiano Biraghi 84'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 15' goal
  • Luka Jovic 81' goal
  • goal Boulaye Dia 55'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Salernitana
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Milan Djuric 9' goal
  • Norbert Gyomber 22' yellowcard
  • Federico Bonazzoli 79' goal
  • goal Riccardo Saponara 64'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 82'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
Dec 11, 2021 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Salernitana
  • Nikola Milenkovic 11' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 31' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 51' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 84' goal
  • Youssef Maleh 90' goal
  • yellowcard Grigoris Kastanos 20'

Form Data

Fiorentina 2 - 1 Genk
AC Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Bologna
Cukaricki 0 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 0 - 1 Juventus
Lazio 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Salernitana 2 - 1 Lazio
Sassuolo 2 - 2 Salernitana
Salernitana 0 - 2 Napoli
Salernitana 4 - 0 Sampdoria
Genoa 1 - 0 Salernitana
Salernitana 2 - 2 Cagliari