Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Salernitana

Beltran (6' pen.), Sottil (17'), Bonaventura (56')
Ranieri (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Genk
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Salernitana
73.49% ( 0.45)	16.39% ( -0.06)	10.11% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.31% (

-0.89)

38.69% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39% (

-0.95)

61% (

0.95)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.9% (

-0.12)

9.09% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.1% (

-0.29)

30.9% (

0.29)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.65% (

-1.34)

46.35% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.01% (

-1.05)

81.99% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 73.48%

Salernitana 10.11%

Draw 16.39%

Fiorentina	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 73.48%	1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.39%	0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.72% Total : 10.11%