UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Genk

Martinez (45+4'), Gonzalez (82' pen.)
Martinez (28'), Vrancken (42'), Milenkovic (90+2'), Biraghi (90+7'), Kouame (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kayembe (45')
Fadera (20'), Italiano (37'), Munoz (81'), Hrosovsky (89'), Paintsil (89'), Zeqiri (90+2'), Heynen (90+6'), Galarza (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genk

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Standard Liege 1-0 Genk
Saturday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Genk had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Genk
54.6% ( 6.57)	21.94% ( -1.6)	23.46% ( -4.97)

Both teams to score 60.27% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27% (

3.03)

38.73% (

-3.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

3.13)

61.04% (

-3.13)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8% (

3.4)

14.19% (

-3.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.1% (

6.26)

41.9% (

-6.26)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25% (

-2.14)

29.75% (

2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.18% (

-2.68)

65.82% (

2.68)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 54.6%

Genk 23.46%

Draw 21.94%

Fiorentina	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.88) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.99) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.73) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.71) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.38) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.36) Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.6%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.93) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -1.13) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.92) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.47) Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.46%