MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 02:32:50| >> :120:27950:27950:
Fiorentina logo
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Genk
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Genk
Martinez (45+4'), Gonzalez (82' pen.)
Martinez (28'), Vrancken (42'), Milenkovic (90+2'), Biraghi (90+7'), Kouame (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kayembe (45')
Fadera (20'), Italiano (37'), Munoz (81'), Hrosovsky (89'), Paintsil (89'), Zeqiri (90+2'), Heynen (90+6'), Galarza (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Standard Liege 1-0 Genk
Saturday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Genk

None of Group F's top three have managed to beat each other so far, and that trend could continue, as Fiorentina are struggling to score goals and may frustrate their fans once again. Genk can stay in the mix by holding the Viola to a draw, which would set up a fascinating final matchday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Genk had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawGenk
54.6% (6.568 6.57) 21.94% (-1.595 -1.6) 23.46% (-4.974 -4.97)
Both teams to score 60.27% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (3.031 3.03)38.73% (-3.032 -3.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (3.126 3.13)61.04% (-3.127 -3.13)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (3.397 3.4)14.19% (-3.398 -3.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.1% (6.257 6.26)41.9% (-6.258 -6.26)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-2.144 -2.14)29.75% (2.144 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (-2.679 -2.68)65.82% (2.678 2.68)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 54.6%
    Genk 23.46%
    Draw 21.94%
FiorentinaDrawGenk
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.319 0.32)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.715 0.72)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.882 0.88)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.99 0.99)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.725 0.73)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.711 0.71)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.35 0.35)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.384 0.38)
5-0 @ 1% (0.356 0.36)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.866 -0.87)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.932 -0.93)
0-1 @ 5.12% (-1.131 -1.13)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.919 -0.92)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.551 -0.55)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.472 -0.47)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Genk

Fiorentina
75.7%
Draw
18.9%
Genk
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Genk
2-2
Fiorentina
Zeqiri (12'), McKenzie (85')
Munoz (29')
Ranieri (7', 23')
Mandragora (33'), Biraghi (45+5')
rhs 2.0
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