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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina do not always travel well, while Roma are a formidable force at home. The Giallorossi should therefore expect to continue their upturn in fortunes, as their squad depth is now quite impressive; helping them stay strong into the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
46.99% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 25.45% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 27.55% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.311 0.31)50.72% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.276 0.28)72.62% (-0.28 -0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.22099999999999 0.22)21.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.338 0.34)54.68% (-0.343 -0.34)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.075999999999993 0.08)32.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.46% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Roma 46.99%
    Fiorentina 27.55%
    Draw 25.45%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma
72.5%
Draw
15.9%
Fiorentina
11.6%
69
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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