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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina do not always travel well, while Roma are a formidable force at home. The Giallorossi should therefore expect to continue their upturn in fortunes, as their squad depth is now quite impressive; helping them stay strong into the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
46.99% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 25.45% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 27.55% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.311 0.31)50.72% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.276 0.28)72.62% (-0.28 -0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.22099999999999 0.22)21.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.338 0.34)54.68% (-0.343 -0.34)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.075999999999993 0.08)32.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.46% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Roma 46.99%
    Fiorentina 27.55%
    Draw 25.45%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma
72.5%
Draw
15.9%
Fiorentina
11.6%
69
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta00000000
2Bologna00000000
3CagliariCagliari00000000
4Como00000000
5Empoli00000000
6Fiorentina00000000
7Genoa00000000
8Hellas VeronaHellas Verona00000000
9Inter Milan00000000
10Juventus00000000
11Lazio00000000
12Lecce00000000
13AC Milan00000000
14Monza00000000
15Napoli00000000
16Parma00000000
17Roma00000000
18Torino00000000
19Udinese00000000
20VeneziaVenezia00000000


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