Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.