Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.