Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Luzern

Basel
1 - 1
Luzern

FT(HT: 0-0)
Jasari (81')
Beka (90')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 3-2 Basel
Sunday, September 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 2-0 Servette
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLuzern
29.19% (0.059999999999999 0.06)22.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)38.14% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (0.011000000000003 0.01)60.41% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.26% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.057000000000002 0.06)60.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)16.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)45.77% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Basel 29.19%
    Luzern 47.93%
    Draw 22.87%
BaselDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.89%
1-4 @ 2.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Basel vs Luzern

Basel
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Luzern
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 29
Basel
0-2
Luzern
Sorgic (71'), Breedijk (89')
Mar 4, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Luzern
0-1
Basel
Frei (29' pen.)
Jan 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Basel
2-3
Luzern
Amdouni (17'), Zeqiri (78')
Schurpf (60'), Jasari (74'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (89')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Luzern
0-2
Basel
Males (6' pen.), Fink (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 31
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')