Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 1.15pm UK
swissporarena

Luzern
2 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Villiger (50', 85')
Kadak (30'), Beka (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mahmoud (82')
Hamdiju (26'), Obexer (39'), Bamba (79'), Mahmoud (84'), Danho (87')
Mahmoud (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Djurgarden 1-2 Luzern
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-3 Lugano
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luzern in this match.

Result
LuzernDrawStade Lausanne-Ouchy
60.82% (-0.369 -0.37)20.57% (0.162 0.16)18.6% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 57.44% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.03% (-0.422 -0.42)38.97% (0.425 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.71% (-0.446 -0.45)61.29% (0.448 0.45)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (-0.232 -0.23)12.4% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.7% (-0.491 -0.49)38.29% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)34.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-0.032 -0.03)71.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 60.82%
    Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 18.6%
    Draw 20.57%
LuzernDrawStade Lausanne-Ouchy
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 4.27% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.55% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 18.6%