Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.