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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion
Basel

Tobol
1 - 2
Basel

Deble (43' pen.)
Vukadinovic (10'), Curcic (11'), Chesnokov (59'), Asrankulov (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kade (26'), Augustin (32' pen.)
Frei (45'), Comas (76'), Augustin (87')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Tobol
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Basel

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 5-2 Winterthur
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Tobol win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.

Result
TobolDrawBasel
36.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)24.82%38.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62%58.37%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Tobol 36.63%
    Basel 38.55%
    Draw 24.82%
TobolDrawBasel
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-1 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.55%

How you voted: Tobol vs Basel

Tobol
34.6%
Draw
23.1%
Basel
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 6.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Basel
1-3
Tobol
Barry (25')
Calafiori (45+3')
Barry (56'), Calafiori (68')
Deble (57' pen.), Orazov (62'), Chesnokov (71')
Ilic (44'), Zharynbetov (45+3'), Orazov (62')