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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 5pm UK
Tapiolan Urheilupuisto

Honka
0 - 0
Tobol


Eremenko (44'), Koski (60'), Hernandez (90+3')
FT

Muzhikov (49'), Mrkaic (71')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Honka and Tobol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honka

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 2-1 Honka
Thursday, July 13 at 3pm in Europa Conference League

Tobol

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 2-1 Honka
Thursday, July 13 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Oulu251.56Coffey
2HJK Helsinki241.50Radulovic
3KuPS221.29Nissila
4Inter Turku191.36Smith
5SJK191.27Moreno
6Haka171.13Lescano
7VPS150.94Godly Michael
8Ilves140.93Pennanen
9Honka130.81Bauque
10Mariehamn130.87Hopcutt
11Lahti130.93Zeqiri
12KTP120.80Furtado

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
HonkaDrawTobol
65.3%21.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)13.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.71% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.61% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Honka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)14.77% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.96% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.04% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.74% (0.016000000000002 0.02)83.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Honka 65.29%
    Tobol 13.56%
    Draw 21.13%
HonkaDrawTobol
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.51%
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 65.29%
1-1 @ 9.95%
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.13%
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 13.56%

How you voted: Honka vs Tobol

Honka
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Tobol
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 3pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Tobol
2-1
Honka
Vukadinovic (62', 75')
Chesnokov (59'), Mladovic (71'), Vukadinovic (76'), Deble (90+4')
Kaufmann (39')
Ortiz (63'), Alegria (71')