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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion

Tobol
2 - 1
Honka

Vukadinovic (62', 75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaufmann (39')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Honka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Tobol 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 11 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Honka

All competitions
Last Game: SJK 1-0 Honka
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
TobolDrawHonka
30.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)28.74%40.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 44.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89%36.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11%72.89%
Honka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tobol 30.86%
    Honka 40.4%
    Draw 28.72%
TobolDrawHonka
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.86%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 13.02%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.88%
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Tobol vs Honka

Tobol
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Honka
50.0%
8
rhs 2.0


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