Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Roma |
| 37.38% ( | 26.19% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( | 51.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( | 72.88% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( | 26.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( | 61.74% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( | 27.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( | 62.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.42% |