Coppa Italia | Round of 16

Dec 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Parma

N'Zola (83'), Sottil (89' pen.)
Mina (38'), N'Zola (92'), Infantino (120')

FT
(aet)

Bernabe (21'), Bonny (23')
Chichizola (38'), Ansaldi (96')

Fiorentina win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Parma

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Spezia 0-1 Parma
Saturday, December 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.7%).

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Parma
65.39% ( 3.86)	20.19% ( -1.21)	14.42% ( -2.64)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

-2.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

0.27)

45.05% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

0.26)

67.4% (

-0.26)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.03% (

1.24)

12.97% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.54% (

2.48)

39.45% (

-2.48)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.71% (

-3.32)

43.28% (

3.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.47% (

-2.91)

79.53% (

2.91)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 65.39%

Parma 14.42%

Draw 20.19%

Fiorentina	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.9) 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.94) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.64) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.33) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.99% Total : 65.39%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.56) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.44) Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.19%	0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.64) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.42%