Serie B | Gameweek 11

Oct 28, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
1 - 3
Parma

Caligara (13')
Bellusci (29'), Falasco (36'), Caligara (52'), Viviano (64'), Quaranta (73'), Nestorovski (76'), Manzari (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Man (7', 34'), Bernabe (54')
Bonny (39'), Camara (90+1')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions

Last Game: Lecco 0-2 Ascoli
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 2-1 Como
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Parma
39.48% ( 0.15)	26.73% ( -0)	33.79% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.48% (

-0.02)

53.52% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96% (

-0.02)

75.03% (

0.02)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

0.07)

26.53% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

0.1)

61.73% (

-0.1)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

-0.11)

29.91% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98% (

-0.13)

66.01% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 39.48%

Parma 33.79%

Draw 26.73%

Ascoli	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.79%