Serie B | Gameweek 7

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 1
Bari

Partipilo (15'), Benedyczak (81')
Pecchia (10'), Bonny (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nasti (46')
Sibilli (9'), Di Cesare (34'), Vicari (55')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 1-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, September 24 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bari

All competitions

Last Game: Bari 2-2 Catanzaro
Sunday, September 24 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 28.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Bari
42.49% ( -0.25)	29.29% ( -0.02)	28.22% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 42.31% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.9% (

0.14)

64.09% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.75% (

0.1)

83.25% (

-0.1)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

-0.07)

29.92% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97% (

-0.08)

66.02% (

0.08)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.37% (

0.3)

39.63% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.69% (

0.27)

76.31% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Parma 42.49%

Bari 28.21%

Draw 29.28%

Parma	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 42.49%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 28.21%